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Greenhouse gases start to decline
MacDougall, A. H., et al. ‘Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the zero emissions commitment from CO2’, Biogeosciences, 17 (11), 2020: 2987–3016, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-2987-2020.this adds to heavy rainfall events
Pendergrass, A. G., and Knutti, R., ‘The uneven nature of daily precipitation and its change’, Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (21), 2018: 11980–88, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080298. -
So far, the sea level rise … matches independent data
WCRP Global Sea Level Budget Group, ‘Global sea-level budget 1993–present’, Earth System Science Data, 10 (3), 2018: 1551–90, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-1551-2018. -
The AMOC is the main reason
Feulner, G., et al., ‘On the origin of the surface air temperature difference between the hemispheres in Earth’s present-day climate’, Journal of Climate, 26 (18) 2013: 7136–50, https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/26/18/jcli-d-12-00636.1.xml. -
credible warning signs from observational data
Boers, N., ‘Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation’, Nature Climate Change, 11 (8), 2021: 680–88, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01097-4.