Segunda Parte / Cómo Está Cambiando Nuestro Planeta

2.7 Meteorología peligrosa

Todas las fuentes en línea se consultaron el

  1. casi todas las personas lo padecen a través de fenómenos meteorológicos extremos Harrington, L. J., and Otto, F. E. L., ‘Adapting attribution science to the climate extremes of tomorrow’, Environmental Research Letters, 13 (12), 2018: artículo 12306, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaf4cc.

    su efecto sobre el tiempo de manera cotidiana Sippel, S., et al., ‘Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale’, Nature Climate Change, 10 (1), 2020: 35–41, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0666-7.

    un clima más cálido haría que aumentara la probabilidad de olas de calor National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change(Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2016), https://doi.org/10.17226/21852.

    Esta ciencia, en teoría, es sencilla Otto, F. E. L., ‘Attribution of weather and climate events’, Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 42, 2017: 627–46, https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-102016-060847.

  2. Durante la última década, los avances de la ciencia han sido importantes Van Oldenborgh, G. J., et al., ‘Pathways and pitfalls in extreme event attribution’, Climate Change, 166 (1–2), 2021: Article 13, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03071-7.

    «el cambio climático provocado por el ser humano ya está afectando» Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, ‘Summary for policymakers’, en Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, ed. V. Masson-Delmotte et al. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, en prensa), https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/.

    el caso del huracán Harvey Risser, M. D., and Wehner, M. F., ‘Attributable human-induced changes in the likelihood and magnitude of the observed extreme precipitation during Hurricane Harvey’, Geophysical Research Letters, 44 (24), 2017: 12457–64, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL075888; van Oldenborgh, G. J., et al., ‘Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017’, Environmental Research Letters, 12 (12), 2017: artículo 124009, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa9ef2.

    costos globales de la precipitación asociada a la tormenta Frame, D. J., et al., ‘The economic costs of Hurricane Harvey attributable to climate change’, Climate Change, 160 (2), 2020: 271–81, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02692-8.

    70.000 personas menos se habrían visto afectadas Strauss, B. H., et al., ‘Economic damages from Hurricane Sandy attributable to sea level rise caused by anthropogenic climate change’, Nature Communications, 12, 2021: artículo 2720, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22838-1.

    tormentas que se mueven más lentamente, es mayor la cantidad de lluvia que puede caer Seneviratne, S. I., et al., ‘Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate’ en Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Change, ed. V. Masson-Delmotte et al. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, en prensa), https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/.