{"id":777,"date":"2022-09-15T21:08:53","date_gmt":"2022-09-15T21:08:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/notes-de-fin\/quavons-nous-fait-jusquici\/4-17-lavenir-sera-t-il-electrique\/"},"modified":"2022-09-15T21:08:53","modified_gmt":"2022-09-15T21:08:53","slug":"4-17-lavenir-sera-t-il-electrique","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/notes-de-fin\/quavons-nous-fait-jusquici\/4-17-lavenir-sera-t-il-electrique\/","title":{"rendered":"4.17 L\u2019avenir sera-t-il e\u0301lectrique ?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Jillian Anable<\/a> et Christian Brand<\/a><\/p>\n

Toutes les sources num\u00e9riques ont \u00e9t\u00e9 consult\u00e9es le

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  1. \n

    \nles transports tous secteurs confondus sont appele\u0301s a\u0300 largement doubler<\/q> International Transport Forum, R\u00e9sum\u00e9<\/cite>, Perspectives des transports FIT 2021<\/span> , 17 mai 2021, https:\/\/www.itf-oecd.org\/itf-transport-outlook-2021<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nnous ne tiendrons pas les objectifs de\u0301finis dans l\u2019accord de Paris<\/q> Ibid.\n<\/p>\n

    \nLes voitures, les utilitaires et les bus restent ge\u0301ne\u0301ralement en circulation<\/q> Keith, D. R., et al., \u2018Vehicle fleet turnover and the future of fuel economy\u2019<\/cite>, Environmental Research Letters<\/span>, 14 (2), 2019: Article 021001, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/aaf4d2<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nles e\u0301missions mondiales de CO2<\/sub> issues des voitures ne baisseraient \u00ab que \u00bb de 14 %<\/q> Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, \u2018Transport sector CO2<\/sub> emissions by mode in the sustainable development scenario, 2000\u20132030\u2019<\/cite>, 5 January 2022, https:\/\/www.iea.org\/data-and-statistics\/charts\/transport-sector-co2-emissions-by-mode-in-the-sustainable-development-scenario-2000-2030<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  2. \n

    \nve\u0301hicules sont devenus plus lourds et plus puissants, ce qui annule partiellement la consommation moindre de carburant<\/q> Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, Vehicle Fuel Economy in Major Markets 2005\u20132019<\/span>, Global Fuel Economy Initiative working paper, novembre 2021, https:\/\/www.globalfueleconomy.org\/data-and-research\/publications\/gfei-working-paper-22<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \n45 % des ventes mondiales de ve\u0301hicules le\u0301gers<\/q> \u00ab En 2021, les SUV correspondaient \u00e0 plus de 45 % des ventes mondiales de voitures, soit un nouveau record en volume et en part de march\u00e9. \u00bb (Source: https:\/\/www.iea.org\/commentaries\/global-suv-sales-set-another-record-in-2021-setting-back-efforts-to-reduce-emissions<\/a>)\n<\/p>\n

    \nJusqu\u2019a\u0300 40 % des e\u0301conomies de carburant sont annihile\u0301es par ces ventes<\/q> Global Fuel Economy Initiative, \u2018Vehicle efficiency improvements vastly insufficient to achieve Paris goals says new GFEI report in urgent call for policy action\u2019<\/cite>, 4 novembre 2021, https:\/\/www.globalfueleconomy.org\/blog\/2021\/november\/vehicle-efficiency-improvements-vastly-insufficient-to-achieve-paris-goals-says-new-gfei-report-in-urgent-call-for-policy-action<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nles e\u0301missions de carbone en 2020 avaient baisse\u0301 sur tous les segments sauf un<\/q> Cozzi, L., and Petropoulos, A., \u2018Carbon emissions fell across all sectors in 2020 except for one \u2013 SUVs \u2013 analysis\u2019<\/cite>, Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, 15 janvier 2021, https:\/\/www.iea.org\/commentaries\/carbon-emissions-fell-across-all-sectors-in-2020-except-for-one-suvs<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nLes E\u0301tats-Unis, par exemple, incitent a\u0300 l\u2019achat de grosses voitures e\u0301lectriques<\/q> United States Environment and Protection Agency, \u2018Highlights of the automotive trends report\u2019<\/cite>, 19 novembre 2019, https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/automotive-trends\/highlights-automotive-trends-report<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nve\u0301hicules hybrides \u2013 un cinqui\u00e8me environ des ventes mondiales de ve\u0301hicules e\u0301lectriques<\/q> \u00ab Les v\u00e9hicules hybrides repr\u00e9sentaient environ un cinqui\u00e8me de ventes mondiales de v\u00e9hicules \u00e9lectriques en 2021 \u00bb https:\/\/www.iea.org\/data-and-statistics\/charts\/electric-car-registrations-and-sales-share-in-china-united-states-europe-and-other-regions-2016-2021<\/a>, based on data underpinning the Figure \u2018Electric car registrations and sales share in China, United States, Europe and other regions, 2016-2021\u2019.\n<\/p>\n

    \nL\u2019une des me\u0301thodes les plus rapides, faciles et efficaces<\/q> Boyle, D. et al., Smoking out the Climate: Lessons from the Advertising Ban on Tobacco for Tackling the Climate Emergency<\/span><\/cite>, Badvertising, ao\u00fbt 2020, https:\/\/static1.squarespace.com\/static\/5ebd0080238e863d04911b51\/t\/5f1fe08099156872c6ca1e59\/1595924618033\/Smoking+Out+The+Climate+FINAL.pdf<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nnous e\u0301pargner jusqu\u2019a\u0300 cent millions de tonnes de CO2<\/sub><\/q> Gross, R., et al., Review of Energy Policy<\/span><\/cite>, United Kingdom Energy Research Centre, d\u00e9cembre 2020, https:\/\/ukerc.ac.uk\/publications\/review-of-energy-policy-2020\/<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nnombre croissant de personnes force\u0301es d\u2019avoir une voiture<\/q> Mattioli, G., \u2018Transport poverty and car dependence: a European perspective\u2019<\/cite>, in Pereira, R. H. M., and Boisjoly, G., \u00e9ds., Advances in Transport Policy and Planning: Social Issues in Transport Planning<\/span> (London: Academic Press, 2021), 101\u201333, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/bs.atpp.2021.06.004<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  3. \n

    \nlimite de vitesse a\u0300 130 kilome\u0300tres a\u0300 l\u2019heure sur les autoroutes<\/q> Umweltbundesamt, \u2018Speed limits on motorways clearly cut down CO2<\/sub> emissions\u2019<\/cite>, 18 mars 2020, https:\/\/www.umweltbundesamt.de\/en\/press\/pressinformation\/speed-limits-on-motorways-clearly-cut-down-co2<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nsupe\u0301rieur au total annuel de soixante des pays les moins pollueurs<\/q> Atlas mondial du carbone, \u2018CO2<\/sub> emissions\u2019<\/cite>, 2018, www.globalcarbonatlas.org\/en\/CO2-emissions<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nRe\u0301duire la vitesse maximale a\u0300 100 kilome\u0300tres a\u0300 l\u2019heure<\/q> Umweltbundesamt, \u2018Speed limits on motorways clearly cut down CO2<\/sub> emissions\u2019<\/cite>.\n<\/p>\n

    \n59 % des trajets en voiture font moins de 8 kilome\u0300tres<\/q> Minist\u00e8re britannique des transports, \u2018National travel survey: 2020\u2019<\/cite>, 22 septembre 2021, https:\/\/www.gov.uk\/government\/statistics\/national-travel-survey-2020\/national-travel-survey-2020<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nMarcher, faire du ve\u0301lo classique ou a\u0300 assistance e\u0301lectrique [\u2026] peut re\u0301duire les e\u0301missions<\/q> Brand, C., et al., \u2018The climate change mitigation impacts of active travel: evidence from a longitudinal panel study in seven European cities\u2019<\/cite>, Global Environmental Change<\/span>, 67, 2021: Article 102224, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.gloenvcha.2021.102224<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nnouvelles formes de micromobilite\u0301 e\u0301lectrique plus le\u0301ge\u0300res<\/q> Ebenezer, N., et al., Electromobility in the Global South: An Equitable Transition toward Road Passenger Transport Decarbonization<\/span><\/cite>, Sustainable Mobility for All Partnership and Climate Compatible Growth Programme, https:\/\/www.sum4all.org\/data\/files\/electromobility_in_the_global_south_an_equitable_transition_toward_road_passenger_transport_decarbonization.pdf<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nles bus [\u2026] la transition vers l\u2019e\u0301lectrique<\/q> Facts & Factors, \u2018Global electric bus market share grow at 25% CAGR, to exceed 600 thousand units sales by 2026, according to Facts & Factors\u2019<\/cite>, GlobeNewswire, 25 juin 2021, https:\/\/www.globenewswire.com\/news-release\/2021\/06\/25\/2253218\/0\/en\/Global-Electric-Bus-Market-Share-Grow-at-25-CAGR-to-Exceed-600-Thousand-Units-Sales-by-2026-According-to-Facts-Factors.html<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  4. \n

    \nsurtout renforce\u0301 la fre\u0301quentation chez les usagers existants<\/q> Figg, H., \u2018Free passenger transport \u2013 exploring the benefits and disadvantages\u2019<\/cite>, Eltis, 2 juin 2021, https:\/\/www.eltis.org\/resources\/case-studies\/free-passenger-transport-exploring-benefits-and-disadvantages<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nles mesures restrictives concernant la voiture ont e\u0301te\u0301 cruciales aux Pays-Bas<\/q> Bruno, M., et al., \u2018Mobility protests in the Netherlands of the 1970s: activism, innovation, and transitions\u2019<\/cite>, Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions<\/span>, 40, 2021: 521\u201335, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.eist.2021.10.001<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nles e\u0301missions moyennes de CO2<\/sub> par habitant aux Pays-Bas<\/q> Le calcul des \u00e9missions moyennes de CO2<\/sub> par habitant repose sur les donn\u00e9es de l\u2019Agence europ\u00e9enne pour l\u2019environnement, \u2018EEA greenhouse gases: data viewer\u2019<\/cite>, https:\/\/www.eea.europa.eu\/data-and-maps\/data\/data-viewers\/greenhouse-gases-viewer<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nle nombre de kilome\u0300tres parcourus en voiture devra baisser<\/q> Hopkinson, L., et al., \u2018Radical transport policy two-pager #10. The last chance saloon: we need to cut car mileage by at least 20 per cent\u2019<\/cite>, Transport for Quality of Life, d\u00e9cembre 2021, https:\/\/www.transportforqualityoflife.com\/u\/files\/211214 per cent20The per cent20last per cent20chance per cent20saloon per cent20to per cent20cut per cent20car per cent20mileage.pdf<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \ncre\u0301er des quartiers dits \u00ab en quinze… \u00bb ou \u00ab en vingt minutes \u00bb<\/q> Pozoukidou, G., and Chatziyiannaki, Z., \u201815-minute city: decomposing the new urban planning eutopia\u2019<\/cite>, Sustainability<\/span>, 13 (2), 2021: Article 928, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/su13020928<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nla pande\u0301mie de Covid-19 a acce\u0301le\u0301re\u0301 la tendance aux re\u0301unions virtuelles<\/q> Skiles, M., et al., \u2018Conference demographics and footprint changed by virtual platforms\u2019<\/cite>, Nature Sustainability<\/span>, 5 (2), 2022: 149\u201356, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41893-021-00823-2<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  5. \n

    \n11 % seulement de la population en Angleterre est responsable de pre\u0300s de 44 % des kilome\u0300tres parcourus en voiture<\/q> Cass, N., et al., Curbing Excess: High Energy Consumption and the Fair Energy Transition, Centre for Research into Energy Demand Solutions<\/span><\/cite>, f\u00e9vrier 2020, https:\/\/www.creds.ac.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/CREDS-curbing-excess-Feb2022.pdf<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nEnviron 80 % des e\u0302tres humains n\u2019ont jamais pris l\u2019avion<\/q> Hopkinson, L., and Cairns, S., Elite Status: Global Inequalities in Flying<\/span><\/cite>, Possible, mars 2021, https:\/\/static1.squarespace.com\/static\/5d30896202a18c0001b49180\/t\/605a0951f9b7543b55bb003b\/1616513362894\/Elite+Status+Global+inequalities+in+flying.pdf<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Jillian Anable et Christian Brand Toutes les sources num\u00e9riques ont \u00e9t\u00e9 consult\u00e9es le 1er mars 2022 les transports tous secteurs confondus sont appele\u0301s a\u0300 largement doubler International Transport Forum, R\u00e9sum\u00e9, Perspectives des transports FIT 2021 , 17 mai 2021, https:\/\/www.itf-oecd.org\/itf-transport-outlook-2021. nous ne tiendrons pas les objectifs de\u0301finis dans l\u2019accord de Paris Ibid. Les voitures, les…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"parent":759,"menu_order":17,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-essay.php","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-777","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/777","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=777"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/777\/revisions"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/759"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=777"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}