{"id":757,"date":"2022-09-05T15:51:24","date_gmt":"2022-09-05T15:51:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/notes-de-fin\/quels-impacts-sur-lhumanite\/3-19-les-conflits-climatiques\/"},"modified":"2022-09-05T15:51:24","modified_gmt":"2022-09-05T15:51:24","slug":"3-19-les-conflits-climatiques","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/notes-de-fin\/quels-impacts-sur-lhumanite\/3-19-les-conflits-climatiques\/","title":{"rendered":"3.19 Les conflits climatiques"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"notes\">\n<p class=\"author\"><a href=\"\/contributors#marshall-burke\" rel=\"author\">Marshall Burke<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"date\">Toutes les sources num\u00e9riques ont \u00e9t\u00e9 consult\u00e9es le <time datetime=\"2022-02-28\">28 f\u00e9vrier 2022<\/time><\/p>\n<ol start=\"189\">\n<li>\n<p>\n<q>attribuaient la chute brutale de l\u2019Empire romain aux changements climatiques<\/q> Huntington, E., <cite>\u2018Climatic change and agricultural exhaustion as elements in the fall of Rome\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Quarterly Journal of Economics<\/span>, 31 (2), 1917: 173\u2013 208, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2307\/1883908\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2307\/1883908<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n<q>lorsqu\u2019on monte la tempe\u0301rature [\u2026] comportements plus agressifs<\/q> Voir par exemple, Larrick, R. P., et al., <cite>\u2018Temper, temperature, and temptation: heat-related retaliation in baseball\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Psychological Science<\/span>, 22 (4), 2011: 423\u20138, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177%2F0956797611399292\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177%2F0956797611399292<\/a>; Ranson, M., <cite>\u2018Crime, weather, and climate change\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Journal of Environmental Economics and Management<\/span>, 67 (3), 2014: 274\u2013302, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jeem.2013.11.008\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jeem.2013.11.008<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n<q>des tempe\u0301ratures plus e\u0301leve\u0301es [\u2026] accroissent la probabilite\u0301 de conflits de groupes<\/q> Voir par exemple, Harari, M., and La Ferrara, E., <cite>\u2018Conflict, climate, and cells: a disaggregated analysis\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Review of Economics and Statistics<\/span>, 100 (4), 2018: 594\u2013608, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1162\/rest_a_00730\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1162\/rest_a_00730<\/a>; Burke, M. B., et al., <cite>\u2018Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<\/span>, 106 (49), 2009: 20670\u201374, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.0907998106\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.0907998106<\/a>; Hsiang, S. M., et al., <cite>\u2018Civil conflicts are associated with the global climate\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Nature<\/span>, 476 (7361), 2011: 438\u201341, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/nature10311\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/nature10311<\/a>; Baysan, C., et al., <cite>\u2018Non-economic factors in violence: evidence from organized crime, suicides and climate in Mexico\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization<\/span>, 168, 2019: 434\u201352, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jebo.2019.10.021\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jebo.2019.10.021<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\n<q>augmente de 10 % a\u0300 20 % pour chaque degre\u0301 supple\u0301mentaire<\/q> Burke, M., et al., <cite>\u2018Climate and conflict\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Annual Review of Economics<\/span>, 7, 2015: 577\u2013617, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1146\/annurev-economics-080614-115430\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1146\/annurev-economics-080614-115430<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Marshall Burke Toutes les sources num\u00e9riques ont \u00e9t\u00e9 consult\u00e9es le 28 f\u00e9vrier 2022 attribuaient la chute brutale de l\u2019Empire romain aux changements climatiques Huntington, E., \u2018Climatic change and agricultural exhaustion as elements in the fall of Rome\u2019, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 31 (2), 1917: 173\u2013 208, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2307\/1883908. lorsqu\u2019on monte la tempe\u0301rature [\u2026] comportements plus agressifs&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"parent":740,"menu_order":19,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-essay.php","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-757","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/757","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=757"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/757\/revisions"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/740"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=757"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}