{"id":724,"date":"2022-08-24T14:11:12","date_gmt":"2022-08-24T14:11:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/notes-de-fin\/la-planete-change-sous-nos-yeux\/2-7-les-extre%cc%82mes-meteorologiques\/"},"modified":"2022-08-24T14:11:12","modified_gmt":"2022-08-24T14:11:12","slug":"2-7-les-extre%cc%82mes-meteorologiques","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/notes-de-fin\/la-planete-change-sous-nos-yeux\/2-7-les-extre%cc%82mes-meteorologiques\/","title":{"rendered":"2.7 Les extre\u0302mes me\u0301te\u0301orologiques"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Friederike Otto<\/a><\/p>\n

Toutes les sources num\u00e9riques ont \u00e9t\u00e9 consult\u00e9es le

    \n
  1. \n

    \nsa re\u0301alite\u0301 s\u2019impose ge\u0301ne\u0301ralement sous la forme d\u2019e\u0301ve\u0301nements me\u0301te\u0301orologiques extre\u0302mes<\/q> Harrington, L. J., and Otto, F. E. L., \u2018Adapting attribution science to the climate extremes of tomorrow\u2019<\/cite>, Environmental Research Letters<\/span>, 13 (12), 2018: Article 12306, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/aaf4cc<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nses premiers effets sur la me\u0301te\u0301o au jour le jour<\/q> Sippel, S., et al., \u2018Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale\u2019<\/cite>, Nature Climate Change<\/span>, 10 (1), 2020: 35\u201341, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41558-019-0666-7<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nun climat plus chaud accroi\u0302trait les probabilite\u0301s de canicules<\/q>\u2003National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change<\/span><\/cite>(Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2016), https:\/\/doi.org\/10.17226\/21852<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nEn the\u0301orie, cette discipline repose sur un principe simple<\/q> Otto, F. E. L., \u2018Attribution of weather and climate events\u2019<\/cite>, Annual Review of Environment and Resources<\/span>, 42, 2017: 627\u201346, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1146\/annurev-environ-102016-060847<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  2. \n

    \nDepuis dix ans, cette discipline a conside\u0301rablement progresse\u0301<\/q> Van Oldenborgh, G. J., et al., \u2018Pathways and pitfalls in extreme event attribution\u2019<\/cite>, Climate Change<\/span>, 166 (1\u20132), 2021: Article 13, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s10584-021-03071-7<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \n\u00ab Le changement climatique induit par l\u2019homme affecte de\u0301ja\u0300 \u00bb<\/q> Intergovernmental Groupe d\u2019experts intergouvernemental sur l\u2019\u00e9volution du climat, \u00ab R\u00e9sum\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019intention des d\u00e9cideurs \u00bb<\/cite>, in Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change<\/span>, \u00e9d. V. Masson-Delmotte et al. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, in press), https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nle cas de l\u2019ouragan Harvey<\/q> Risser, M. D., and Wehner, M. F., \u2018Attributable human-induced changes in the likelihood and magnitude of the observed extreme precipitation during Hurricane Harvey\u2019<\/cite>, Geophysical Research Letters<\/span>, 44 (24), 2017: 12457\u201364, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/2017GL075888<\/a>; van Oldenborgh, G. J., et al., \u2018Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017\u2019<\/cite>, Environmental Research Letters<\/span>, 12 (12), 2017: Article 124009, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/aa9ef2<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \ncou\u0302t global des pluies torrentielles attribue\u0301es a\u0300 l\u2019ouragan<\/q> Frame, D. J., et al., \u2018The economic costs of Hurricane Harvey attributable to climate change\u2019<\/cite>, Climate Change<\/span>, 160 (2), 2020: 271\u201381, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s10584-020-02692-8<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \naurait touche\u0301 70 000 personnes de moins<\/q> Strauss, B. H., et al., \u2018Economic damages from Hurricane Sandy attributable to sea level rise caused by anthropogenic climate change\u2019<\/cite>, Nature Communications<\/span>, 12, 2021: Article 2720, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41467-021-22838-1<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nplus une tempe\u0302te se de\u0301place lentement, plus elle de\u0301versera de pluies sur une zone<\/q> Seneviratne, S. I., et al., \u2018Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate\u2019<\/cite> in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Change<\/span>, ed. V. Masson-Delmotte et al. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, \u00e0 venir), https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Friederike Otto Toutes les sources num\u00e9riques ont \u00e9t\u00e9 consult\u00e9es le 28 juillet 2022 sa re\u0301alite\u0301 s\u2019impose ge\u0301ne\u0301ralement sous la forme d\u2019e\u0301ve\u0301nements me\u0301te\u0301orologiques extre\u0302mes Harrington, L. J., and Otto, F. E. L., \u2018Adapting attribution science to the climate extremes of tomorrow\u2019, Environmental Research Letters, 13 (12), 2018: Article 12306, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/aaf4cc. ses premiers effets sur la me\u0301te\u0301o…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"parent":717,"menu_order":7,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-essay.php","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-724","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/724","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=724"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/724\/revisions"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/717"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=724"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}