{"id":716,"date":"2022-08-24T11:48:43","date_gmt":"2022-08-24T11:48:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/notes-de-fin\/comment-fonctionne-le-climat\/1-8-points-de-bascule-et-boucles-de-retroaction\/"},"modified":"2022-08-24T11:48:43","modified_gmt":"2022-08-24T11:48:43","slug":"1-8-points-de-bascule-et-boucles-de-retroaction","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/notes-de-fin\/comment-fonctionne-le-climat\/1-8-points-de-bascule-et-boucles-de-retroaction\/","title":{"rendered":"1.8 Points de bascule et boucles de re\u0301troaction"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"notes\">\n<p class=\"author\"><a href=\"\/contributors#johan-rockstr\u00f6m\" rel=\"author\">Johan Rockstr\u00f6m<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"date\">Toutes les sources num\u00e9riques ont \u00e9t\u00e9 consult\u00e9es le <time datetime=\"2021-11-06\">6 November 2021<\/time><\/p>\n<ol start=\"32\">\n<li>\n<p>\n<q>la mondialisation constitue le principal moteur des transformations plane\u0301taires<\/q> Steffen W., et al., <cite>\u2018The trajectory of the Anthropocene: the Great Acceleration\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Anthropocene Review<\/span>, 2 (1), 2015: 81\u201398, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi:10.1177\/2053019614564785\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi:10.1177\/2053019614564785<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n<q>suffisent a\u0300 influencer le destin de notre plane\u0300te pour les cinq cent mille prochaines anne\u0301es<\/q> Talento, S., et Ganopolski, A., <cite>\u2018Reduced-complexity model for the impact of anthropogenic CO<sub>2<\/sub> emissions on future glacial cycles\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Earth System Dynamics<\/span>, , 12 (4), 2021: 1275\u201393, <a href=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5194\/esd-12-1275-2021<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n<q>le syste\u0300me terrestre semble a\u0300 bout de forces<\/q> Steffen, W., et al., <cite>\u2018The emergence and evolution of Earth system science\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Nature Reviews Earth and Environment<\/span>, 1 (1), 2020: 54\u201363, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s43017-019-0005-6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s43017-019-0005-6<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n<q>ce qui pourrait aboutir a\u0300 la fin de\u0301finitive<\/q> Steffen, W., et al., <cite>\u2018Trajectories of the Earth system in the Anthropocene\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<\/span>, 115 (33), 2018: 8252\u20139, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.1810141115\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.1810141115<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>\n<q>Le seul moyen d\u2019accomplir cette mission humaine<\/q> Rockstr\u00f6m, J., et al., <cite>\u2018We need biosphere stewardship that protects carbon sinks and builds resilience\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<\/span>, 118 (38), 2021: Article e2115218118, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.2115218118\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.2115218118<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n<q>ge\u0301rer les biens communs mondiaux [\u2026] dans les limites plane\u0301taires<\/q> Steffen, W., et al., <cite>\u2018Planetary boundaries: guiding human development on a changing planet\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Science<\/span>, 347 (6223), 2015, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/science.1259855\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/science.1259855<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li value=\"36\">\n<p>\n<q>me\u0302me a\u0300 1,5 \u00b0C de re\u0301chauffement [\u2026] une hausse des oce\u0301ans d\u2019au moins deux me\u0300tres<\/q> Groupe d\u2019experts intergouvernemental sur l\u2019\u00e9volution du climat, <cite><span class=\"book\">Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change<\/span><\/cite>, \u00e9d. V. Masson-Delmotte et al. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, \u00e0 venir), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>\n<q>En 2008, quinze e\u0301le\u0301ments de bascule climatique ont e\u0301te\u0301 identifie\u0301s<\/q> Lenton, T. M., et al., <cite>\u2018Tipping elements in the Earth\u2019s climate system\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<\/span>, 105 (6), 2008: 1786\u201393, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.0705414105\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.0705414105<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n<q>vingt-cinq types ge\u0301ne\u0301riques de changement de re\u0301gime<\/q> Rocha, J. C., et al., <cite>\u2018Regime shifts in the Anthropocene: drivers, risks, and resilience\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">PLOS One<\/span>, 10 (8), 2015: Article e0134639, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0134639\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0134639<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n<q>l\u2019actualisation scientifique de\u0301cennale des risques lie\u0301s aux points de bascule climatiques<\/q> Lenton, T. M., et al., <cite>\u2018Climate tipping points \u2013 too risky to bet against\u2019<\/cite>, <span class=\"book\">Nature<\/span>, 575 (7784), 2019: 592\u20135, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/d41586-019-03595-0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/d41586-019-03595-0<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n<q>Cette e\u0301valuation a, en grande mesure, e\u0301te\u0301 confirme\u0301e<\/q> Groupe d\u2019experts intergouvernemental sur l\u2019\u00e9volution du climat, <cite><span class=\"book\">Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis<\/span><\/cite>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Johan Rockstr\u00f6m Toutes les sources num\u00e9riques ont \u00e9t\u00e9 consult\u00e9es le 6 November 2021 la mondialisation constitue le principal moteur des transformations plane\u0301taires Steffen W., et al., \u2018The trajectory of the Anthropocene: the Great Acceleration\u2019, Anthropocene Review, 2 (1), 2015: 81\u201398, https:\/\/doi:10.1177\/2053019614564785. suffisent a\u0300 influencer le destin de notre plane\u0300te pour les cinq cent mille prochaines&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"parent":711,"menu_order":8,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-essay.php","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-716","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/716","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=716"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/716\/revisions"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/711"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=716"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}