{"id":108,"date":"2022-08-24T11:48:43","date_gmt":"2022-08-24T11:48:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/?page_id=108"},"modified":"2022-11-03T15:07:54","modified_gmt":"2022-11-03T15:07:54","slug":"1-8-tipping-points-and-feedback-loops","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/en-us\/endnotes\/how-climate-works\/1-8-tipping-points-and-feedback-loops\/","title":{"rendered":"1.8 Tipping Points and Feedback Loops"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Johan Rockstr\u00f6m<\/a><\/p>\n

All online sources accessed on

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    \nour globalized world constitutes the largest driver of change<\/q> Steffen W., et al., \u2018The trajectory of the Anthropocene: the Great Acceleration\u2019<\/cite>, Anthropocene Review<\/span>, 2 (1), 2015: 81\u201398, https:\/\/doi:10.1177\/2053019614564785<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nsufficient to affect our planet\u2019s future during the next half a million years<\/q> Talento, S., and Ganopolski, A., \u2018Reduced-complexity model for the impact of anthropogenic CO2<\/sub> emissions on future glacial cycles\u2019<\/cite>, Earth System Dynamics<\/span>, , 12 (4), 2021: 1275\u201393, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5194\/esd-12-1275-2021<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nthe Earth system seems to be running out of resilience<\/q> Steffen, W., et al., \u2018The emergence and evolution of Earth system science\u2019<\/cite>, Nature Reviews Earth and Environment<\/span>, 1 (1), 2020: 54\u201363, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s43017-019-0005-6<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nwhich could culminate in an irreversible drift<\/q> Steffen, W., et al., \u2018Trajectories of the Earth system in the Anthropocene\u2019<\/cite>, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<\/span>, 115 (33), 2018: 8252\u20139, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.1810141115<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

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    \nThe only way to succeed in this human quest<\/q> Rockstr\u00f6m, J., et al., \u2018We need biosphere stewardship that protects carbon sinks and builds resilience\u2019<\/cite>, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<\/span>, 118 (38), 2021: Article e2115218118, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.2115218118<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nrequires that we govern \u2026 within planetary boundaries<\/q> Steffen, W., et al., \u2018Planetary boundaries: guiding human development on a changing planet\u2019<\/cite>, Science<\/span>, 347 (6223), 2015, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1126\/science.1259855<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

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    \neven at 1.5\u00b0C of warming \u2026 sea-level rise of at least 2 metres<\/q> Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change<\/span><\/cite>, ed. V. Masson-Delmotte et al. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, in press), https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

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    \nIn 2008, a range of climate-tipping elements were identified<\/q> Lenton, T. M., et al., \u2018Tipping elements in the Earth\u2019s climate system\u2019<\/cite>, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<\/span>, 105 (6), 2008: 1786\u201393, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.0705414105<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \n25 generic types of regime shift<\/q> Rocha, J. C., et al., \u2018Regime shifts in the Anthropocene: drivers, risks, and resilience\u2019<\/cite>, PLOS One<\/span>, 10 (8), 2015: Article e0134639, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0134639<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \na ten-year science update on climate tipping-point risks<\/q> Lenton, T. M., et al., \u2018Climate tipping points \u2013 too risky to bet against\u2019<\/cite>, Nature<\/span>, 575 (7784), 2019: 592\u20135, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/d41586-019-03595-0<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

    \nThis assessment was to a large extent confirmed<\/q> Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis<\/span><\/cite>.\n<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Johan Rockstr\u00f6m All online sources accessed on 6 November 2021 our globalized world constitutes the largest driver of change Steffen W., et al., \u2018The trajectory of the Anthropocene: the Great Acceleration\u2019, Anthropocene Review, 2 (1), 2015: 81\u201398, https:\/\/doi:10.1177\/2053019614564785. sufficient to affect our planet\u2019s future during the next half a million years Talento, S., and Ganopolski,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"parent":14,"menu_order":8,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-essay.php","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-108","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/en-us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/108","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/en-us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/en-us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/en-us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/en-us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/en-us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/108\/revisions"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/en-us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/14"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/theclimatebook.org\/en-us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}